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for the 3 sites, forced by climate data from the HadRM3-PPE-UK (Met Office 
Hadley Centre 2012) regional climate model for 1950−2100, using the medium 
(SRESA 1B) emissions scenario, as described by van der Molen et al. (2013). It 
was confirmed (demonstrating agreement between model predictions and 
observations) using hindcasts forced with the meteorological hindcast forcing 
from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECM WF) ERA-40 
and Operational Analysis Hindcasts (`https://www.ecmwf.int/`_). The bias was 
−5.1% for Southern Bight, −13.0% for Oyster Grounds and −21.9% for the North 
Dogger for near-bed oxygen. Themodelled values used here are therefore 
conservative, as they underestimate the recorded values. Projections were 
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(53.167° N, 2.804°E) and the North Dogger Bank (55.671° N, 2.298°E). The 
Oyster Grounds and North Dogger Bank were simulated using 40 vertical layers, 
and the Southern Bight using 30 layers. The modelled oxygen concentrations for 
the Oyster Grounds near the bed (the lowest of the 40 vertical layers) were 
validatedagainst measurements from 2000−2008 of the Dutch national monitoring 
programme (Monitoring Waterstaatkundige Toestand des Lands; MWTL) and Cefas 
SmartBuoy measurements at Terschelling 135. 

Met Office Hadley Centre (2012) HadRM3-PPE-UK model data. NCAS British 
Atmospheric Data Centre, 2008- January 2012. 
`https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/f9c7d70b0e6d4c31c067e75ab67cb3cc`_

van der Molen J, Aldridge JN, Coughlan C, Parker ER, Stephens D, Ruardij P 
(2013) Modelling marine ecosystem response to climate change and trawling in 
the North Sea. Biogeochemistry 113:213−236

Climate data, as produced using GETM-ERSEM. A paper has been published which 
describes the methods and can be found via 
`https://doi.org/10.3354/meps12291`_


.. _`https://www.ecmwf.int/`:
    https://www.ecmwf.int/

.. _`https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/f9c7d70b0e6d4c31c067e75ab67cb3cc`:
    https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/f9c7d70b0e6d4c31c067e75ab67cb3cc

.. _`https://doi.org/10.3354/meps12291`:
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